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Losing Its Middlemen, Senate
Shifts to Right
Many centrists bow out, leaving
fewer lawmakers willing to cross party lines and
make deals.
BY: Janet Hook, Times Staff Writer
It would be hard to find two politicians more
different than John B. Breaux and David Vitter.
Breaux, who is retiring from the Senate, is a
centrist Louisiana Democrat. A pragmatic dealmaker,
he shuttles between parties in search of legislative
compromises.
Vitter, who was elected to succeed Breaux, is one
of the most conservative Republicans in the House.
He likes term limits, loathes gambling and rarely
votes against his party or the president.
That changing of the guard is part of a broader
trend emerging from the election that helps explain
why the Senate -- like the greater political
landscape -- has become so polarized. Many centrists
are leaving Congress; unvarnished conservatives are
arriving in their place.
The retirement of Breaux and several other
Southern Democrats depletes even further the
dwindling ranks of lawmakers inclined to work across
party lines. They are being replaced largely by a
younger generation of Republicans, schooled in a
more uncompromising form of conservatism.
Six of the seven Republican senators-elect are
former members of the House -- a far more partisan,
combative institution since firebrand Republican
Newt Gingrich ran the place in the 1990s. Two of the
newcomers were backed by the Club for Growth, an
activist group dedicated to clipping the GOP's
liberal wing. Most of the newly elected senators are
significantly more conservative than those they are
replacing.
"It's a sea change in terms of losing the
political center," said Sen. Olympia J. Snowe
(R-Maine), co-chair with Breaux of the Senate's
bipartisan Centrist Coalition.
The rightward shift will put pressure on the GOP
moderates who remain. When Sen. Arlen Specter
(R-Pa.), who is in line to head the Judiciary
Committee, recently predicted that judicial nominees
who opposed abortion rights would have a difficult
time getting Senate approval, conservatives clamored
for him to be denied the chairmanship.
The Senate makeup also presents a challenge for
President Bush: Although the 2004 elections have
given him more Republican lawmakers dedicated to his
agenda, most of the new senators are not the kind of
bipartisan coalition-builders the president is
likely to need to enact his plans to overhaul the
tax code and Social Security. Because those aims are
more ambitious and riskier than his first-term
agenda of tax cuts and expanded Medicare benefits,
many analysts have said it would be even more
important for Bush to seek bipartisan support.
"It will necessitate consensus building,
especially on the large issues the president is
talking about," Snowe said. "I don't see how it can
be a unilateral approach."
With the retirement of Breaux, Bush is losing one
of the very few Democrats who supported his idea of
allowing workers to invest Social Security taxes in
private accounts. The Louisiana lawmaker also
brokered a compromise on Bush's 2001 tax cut and was
one of two Democrats who had a hand in writing last
year's Medicare bill.
The influx of new conservatives also could harden
Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist (R-Tenn.) against
compromise.
"The pressure on Frist -- to be hard-nosed and
try to run over the Democrats rather than
accommodate them -- will be pretty high," said
Barbara Sinclair, a UCLA political scientist.
The Senate in recent years has tempered the
conservatism of the House on taxes, spending and
social issues, but House Republicans should find
more allies in their campaigns to slash government
spending, revamp the tax code and curb abortion.
But even with their wider margins in the House
and Senate, Bush and GOP leaders will have to
navigate internal divisions among conservatives with
different priorities. Although religious
conservatives may want to emphasize moral issues
such as more curbs on abortion or a ban on same-sex
marriage, other Republicans care more about pushing
Bush's plans to overhaul the tax code and Social
Security. Fiscal conservatives, meanwhile, may prove
a drag on efforts to overhaul Social Security
because of concerns about the high cost of making
the transition to a new system.
The political center of the Senate dwindled after
the 2004 elections in part because so many Southern
Democrats retired. In addition to bridge-builder
Breaux, Sen. Zell Miller of Georgia -- a Democrat so
conservative that he spoke at the Republican
National Convention in August -- is leaving the
chamber. Other Southern Democrats on the way out
include Ernest F. Hollings of South Carolina and Bob
Graham of Florida, who are more moderate than many
in their party.
"These were the guys that were the dealmakers,
the middlemen, the conduit for compromise," said
Ross K. Baker, a political scientist at Rutgers
University.
The vanishing political center reflects a
changing political map: The South, over the last
generation, turned from solidly Democratic into a
Republican stronghold, and the parties themselves
have become more ideologically homogeneous.
There are now fewer conservative Democrats and
fewer liberal Republicans to form a bridge between
the parties. In 1980, there were 69 Southern
Democrats -- mostly conservative -- in the House and
12 in the Senate; in the new Congress there will be
only 48 in the House and four in the Senate. The
caucus of liberal Republicans has been depleted over
the last decade by the retirement of such
influential senators as William S. Cohen of Maine,
Mark O. Hatfield of Oregon and David F. Durenberger
of Minnesota.
And the new generation of GOP conservatives is
bringing a more brash, partisan style to the courtly
Senate. A vivid example came with the 1994 election
of Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, who ousted
Democrat Harris Wofford. One of Santorum's first
acts as a senator was to challenge the institution's
hallowed seniority system by calling for the removal
of Hatfield as Appropriations Committee chairman
because he had voted against a balanced-budget
measure.
One exception in the class of GOP Senate
newcomers is Rep. Johnny Isakson (R-Georgia), who
easily won election to succeed Miller. Endorsed by
the Republican Main Street Partnership, a group that
backs GOP moderates, he wants to expand stem cell
research and has never supported a constitutional
amendment to ban abortion. However, he is a solid
conservative in other respects, earning a lifetime
rating of 84% from the American Conservative Union.
But other freshman senators, significantly to the
right of their predecessors, are exemplars of the
more confrontational conservatism by which Gingrich
transformed the GOP.
After former Rep. John Thune of South Dakota
triumphed over Senate Minority Leader Tom Daschle,
he was one of the first to raise questions about
Specter's comments on judicial nominations. He
predicted that many of the newly elected Republicans
would share his concerns, because they had made
appointment of conservative judges a major campaign
issue.
Former Rep. Tom Coburn is replacing retiring GOP
Sen. Don Nickles in Oklahoma; both are strong
conservatives, but Coburn's conservatism has a
maverick quality. He took a leading role in trying
to cut government spending in the House -- an aim
that will be harder to achieve in the Senate. Coburn
was endorsed by the Club for Growth in a contested
primary in which he beat a more moderate Republican.
North Carolina is taking a conservative turn with
the election of Rep. Richard M. Burr to replace Sen.
John Edwards, who sought the Democratic presidential
nomination rather than run for reelection -- and
wound up as Sen. John F. Kerry's running mate. Burr
was elected to the House in 1994 as part of the
conservative GOP takeover of Congress. His strong
antiabortion record helped him win support from
religious activists.
In Florida, Bush's former housing secretary, Mel
Martinez, is replacing Graham, a moderate Democrat
who retired after running unsuccessfully for
president. In a contested Republican primary,
Martinez tacked sharply to the right and attacked
one opponent for being "the new darling of the
homosexual extremists" because he had supported
protections against hate crimes.
Another big ideological swing is coming in South
Carolina when Hollings, a Democrat who sometimes
crossed party lines on deficit reduction, is
succeeded by Rep. James DeMint, another candidate
backed by the Club for Growth in a contested
Republican primary. He has been a leading advocate
of abolishing the income tax in favor of a national
sales tax.
Louisiana's Vitter is a stalwart party-line
voter. According to Congressional Quarterly, he
voted with his party 99% of the time in 2002 and
2003. Breaux, by contrast, was known for his
willingness to cross party lines and cut deals with
Republicans. As a House member in 1981, he supported
President Reagan's social spending cuts in return
for concessions on his local interests. He explained
that although his vote could not be bought, "it can
be rented."
The Panetta Institute, a public policy center
founded by Leon E. Panetta, President Clinton's
former chief of staff who was a longtime congressman
from Carmel Valley, Calif., chose to honor Breaux
and Snowe for their "high standards of bipartisan
leadership."
It is only the fifth year for the awards, but in
these partisan times, Panetta said, "I'm worried
that I'm going to start running out of people to
give it to." |