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MODERATE VOICES RETAIN SWAY
IN BOLSTERED GOP
By Susan Milligan, Globe Staff
WASHINGTON They don't like runaway deficits, and
some of them favor abortion rights. Most voted
against a constitutional ban on gay marriage, and
several withheld their support for energy and
Medicare bills that the Republican leaders in
Congress wanted.
Never mind the Democrats, whose diminishing power
on Capitol Hill has conservatives optimistic about
approving further limits on abortion, passing
additional tax cuts, and confirming conservative
federal judges. The real brake on an
ultraconservative agenda in the Senate could be
Republicans from Democratic-leaning states the
Northeast moderates and independent thinkers whose
votes will also be needed to pass contested
legislation.
With a 10-vote advantage welcoming them in the
next Congress, Senate Republican leaders surely will
have an easier time passing legislation that has
been bottled up in the current Congress, where
Republicans have a bare 51-to-48 majority. But the
chamber's Northeast Republicans are insisting on
making their moderate and fiscally conservative
voices heard, saying Bush could not have won without
support from centrist Republicans.
"I think the view that moderates as a group
should be jettisoned from the party wouldn't bode
well for the future," said Senator Olympia Snowe,
Republican of Maine and cochair of the Senate
Centrist Coalition. "We should be striving to
embrace anyone who wants to be a Republican and who
shares some beliefs with the Republican Party."
Darrell West, a political scientist at Brown
University, notes that with 55 members next year,
Republicans "are not as dependent on New England.
But the most ambitious parts of the Bush agenda are
going to require 60 votes to overcome a filibuster.
In those terms, New England still has clout."
Cultural conservatives, especially antiabortion
activists, are not so inclusive. Claiming a critical
role in reelecting President Bush and expanding the
Republican majorities on Capitol Hill, conservatives
are pressuring senators to deprive Senator Arlen
Specter a moderate Republican who won reelection to
his Pennsylvania seat despite the state going for
John F. Kerry of the Senate Judiciary Committee
chairmanship.
That fight will be an early test of Republican
leaders, who must weigh the demands of Christian
conservatives against moderates like Snowe, who are
supporting Specter's ascension.
Groups including Concerned Women for America have
deluged Senate offices with calls and faxes
demanding that Specter, whose seniority entitles him
to the chairmanship under Senate tradition, be
passed over for the job because of comments he made
after the election regarding judicial nominees.
Christian antiabortion activists are planning a
"pray-in" on Capitol Hill tomorrow to demand that
the powerful chairmanship be denied to Specter,
whom they view as a potential roadblock to
conservative nominees.
While Specter, who favors abortion rights, never
said he would oppose antiabortion nominees, he said
he "would expect the president to be mindful" of
what happened when Bush nominated other
conservative, antiabortion judges to the federal
bench. Ten of the nominees have been blocked by
filibusters or the threat of a filibuster.
"We believe he's unfit to be the chairman of the
Senate Judiciary Committee. He's a man who cannot be
trusted," said Tom Minnery, vice president of public
policy for Focus on the Family, a conservative
religious group based in Colorado Springs. "I don't
see it as a political payback, but a recognition of
reality. Christian people turned out for this
president because of the president's views, which
are consistent with their own. Specter is sorely out
of step."
Specter said he would not impose a "litmus test"
on judicial nominees and noted that he has voted for
every one of Bush's nominees so far. Those trying to
derail him, he said, are the same people who opposed
him in the Republican primary, in which Specter
successfully fought off a strong challenge from
conservative Pat Toomey.
"No one group elected the president. Moderates
contributed as much as anybody. About half of the
Republicans are pro-choice," Specter told CNN last
week in one of several television appearances to
explain himself.
Even if Specter is denied the leadership
position, conservatives in and outside government
will have to contend with a cadre of Republicans who
must answer to constituents who do not favor all of
the Bush agenda. Maine, New Hampshire, Rhode Island,
and Pennsylvania all went for Kerry in the
presidential election, and if conservatives insist
that six of the seven Republican senators from those
states move to the right, they could lose those
members or those states to the Democrats, political
analysts said. The other Republican senator from
that group of states, Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania,
is a conservative and a member of the Senate
leadership.
For example, Senator Lincoln Chafee, Republican
of Rhode Island, said he could not vote for Bush and
hinted earlier this month that he might bolt the
party. Last week, Chafee said he would remain a
Republican, but his membership in the Republican
caucus has not made him a reliable vote for his
party on legislation. He voted against the war in
Iraq, against the administration's energy bill, and
against the gay marriage ban, stands which are in
line with his liberal state.
The soft-spoken Chafee has been a particular
source of frustration for Republican leaders because
he does not bargain for political favors in exchange
for votes. While other senators work the floor,
trading votes, Chafee simply votes his conscience,
his colleagues say, then goes back to work without
apology or explanation.
"He's a gentle soul. And he's underestimated in
his intellect. He's very bright," said Sarah
Chamberlain Resnick, executive director of the
Republican Main Street Partnership, which represents
centrist Republicans.
Snowe's colleague from Maine, Senator Susan
Collins, is also a leading centrist who, as
chairwoman of the Governmental Affairs Committee,
has played a prominent role in developing
legislation in response to the 9/11 Commission. New
Hampshire's Republican senators, John Sununu and
Judd Gregg, are both conservatives but are willing
to oppose party leaders on fiscal and environmental
matters. Gregg, the incoming chairman of the Budget
Committee, has indicated some caution on additional
tax cuts, saying extension of the current tax cuts
and alterations to the Alternative Minimum Tax, a
tax increasingly affecting the middle class, may
suffice for the immediate future.
Sununu rejected the idea that cultural
conservatives either gave Bush the election or
deserve to control the party now.
"It's a big, broad party right now. That's one of
the reasons we were so successful," Sununu said. "I
hope that doesn't change anytime soon."
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